Microsoft Research tests new crowdsourcing prediction game on elections in India

As the final votes are cast for the India’s general election, which concludes Monday evening, Microsoft Research is using this monumental exercise in democracy to test a new crowdsourcing prediction game.

There are 814 million eligible voters in India, which is why voting is spread out over more than a month. India bans polling from being released during the voting portion of the campaign. Final vote tallies are due to be released Friday.

The Indian Elections Game, a collaboration between Microsoft Research India and Microsoft Research New York City, including Miro Dudik and David Rothschild, was released just before voting began April 7 and runs through the final voting day. Nearly 4,000 users created their predictions on the number of seats that any given party, or combination of parties, would get in any of the 35 voting states and union territories.

The game learned how the different parties interacted within a given district and between districts, and expects the opposition party BJP to carry 228 of the 543 seats and its national alliance, the NDA, to carry 270 seats. The party currently in power, Congress, is expected to carry just 87 seats and its alliance, the UPA, just 110. The Third Front alliance is expected to carry 80 seats. That leaves 83 seats to smaller parties that are not formally aligned with any of the three major alliances.

Head over to Inside Microsoft Research to read more about the game and its predictions.

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Athima Chansanchai
Microsoft News Center Staff